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Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Thomas N.
48' Event
Francis-Jones M.
50' Event
Suckley A.

AI Match Summary

The Adran Premier Women game between Wrexham W and Aberystwyth W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Wrexham W
15%
Draws
0%
Aberystwyth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Wrexham W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wrexham W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Wrexham W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Wrexham W Clean Sheet 16%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham W Aberystwyth W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 3.57 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
4:0
Dec 7, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Wrexham W
0:5
Feb 2, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
7:1
Oct 6, 2024 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Wrexham W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Francis-Jones M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Aberystwyth W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham W 84 / 100
Aberystwyth W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham W Aberystwyth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham W's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aberystwyth W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aberystwyth W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham W VS Aberystwyth W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wrexham W
2 : 3
TNS W
27 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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Aberystwyth W

(Away)
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS W 5 5 0 0 25:6 15
2 Wrexham W 5 4 0 1 25:6 12
3 Swansea W 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
4 Cardiff City W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
5 Briton Ferry W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 5 1 1 3 5:14 4
7 Aberystwyth W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
8 Barry Town W 5 0 0 5 3:28 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)