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Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hughes R.
13' Event
Jenkins A.
23' Event
Jenkins A.

AI Match Summary

The Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 game between Wrexham W and Aberystwyth W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Wrexham W
15%
Draws
0%
Aberystwyth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aberystwyth W haven't matched Wrexham W's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Wrexham W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Wrexham W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Wrexham W Clean Sheet 68%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wrexham W Aberystwyth W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 3.57 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
4:0
Dec 7, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Wrexham W
0:5
Feb 2, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Aberystwyth W
7:1
Oct 6, 2024 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Wrexham W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wrexham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mahmood M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Aberystwyth W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wrexham W 95 / 100
Aberystwyth W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wrexham W Aberystwyth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wrexham W scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Aberystwyth W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Aberystwyth W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wrexham W VS Aberystwyth W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wrexham W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wrexham W
2 : 3
TNS W
27 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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Aberystwyth W

(Away)
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff City W 14 11 2 1 53:13 35
2 Wrexham W 14 11 1 2 50:20 34
3 Swansea W 14 10 0 4 48:20 30
4 TNS W 14 7 2 5 34:22 23
5 Briton Ferry W 14 5 1 8 29:37 16
6 Aberystwyth W 14 4 1 9 17:34 13
7 Barry Town W 14 4 1 9 22:47 13
8 Pontypridd United W 14 0 0 14 11:71 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)