Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan

China China

Super League Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Nkololo B.
45' Event
Abreu F.
Assist: Wang Gang
52' Event
Zhang Yuning
Assist: Wang Gang

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Wuhan Three Towns and Beijing Guoan finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wuhan Three Towns
44%
Draws
20%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 16%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wuhan Three Towns Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan
0:2
Aug 25, 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
4:0
Apr 15, 2025 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan
4:4
Jul 7, 2024 Super League
Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wuhan Three Towns Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhang Yuning
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wuhan Three Towns 36 / 100
Beijing Guoan 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wuhan Three Towns Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Wuhan Three Towns found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Beijing Guoan conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Wuhan Three Towns stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wuhan Three Towns VS Beijing Guoan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wuhan Three Towns

(Home)
18 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
04 Jul
Dalian Yingbo
3 : 2
Wuhan Three Towns
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns
20 Jun
Qingdao Red Lions
0 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
31 May
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
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Beijing Guoan

(Away)
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns
19 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 2
Beijing Guoan
30 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 3
Beijing Guoan
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)