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Stadium Background

Wurges vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 game between Wurges and Fernwald finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Wurges
30%
Draws
28%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wurges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Wurges carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wurges Clean Sheet 20%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wurges Fernwald
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Wurges
1:0
Aug 14, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Fernwald
1:1
Nov 28, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs Fernwald
0:0
Aug 8, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Wurges
2:1
Apr 13, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Wurges
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wurges 36 / 100
Fernwald 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wurges Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wurges scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Fernwald's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Wurges has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fernwald
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wurges

(Home)
28 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 1
Wurges
21 May
Wurges
3 : 1
Hunfelder
14 May
Wurges
2 : 1
Vellmar
07 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 1
Wurges
29 Apr
Wurges
0 : 2
Waldgirmes
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Fernwald

(Away)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
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