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Wurges vs VfB Marburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 game between Wurges and VfB Marburg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wurges.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Wurges
15%
Draws
34%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wurges

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • VfB Marburg have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Wurges are scoring more at 1.33.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Wurges Clean Sheet 15%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wurges VfB Marburg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Wurges
0:1
Oct 1, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs VfB Marburg
2:2
May 29, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Wurges
4:3
Nov 7, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Wurges vs VfB Marburg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wurges 31 / 100
VfB Marburg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wurges VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: VfB Marburg conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Wurges scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Wurges has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS VfB Marburg
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wurges

(Home)
28 May
FCA Darmstadt
0 : 1
Wurges
21 May
Wurges
3 : 1
Hunfelder
14 May
Wurges
2 : 1
Vellmar
07 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 1
Wurges
29 Apr
Wurges
0 : 2
Waldgirmes
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VfB Marburg

(Away)
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
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