Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wycombe vs Stevenage

England England

EFL Cup Adams Park, High Wycombe
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Roberts J.
27' Event
Kemp D.
33'
Onyedinma F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Wycombe
30%
Draws
33%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wycombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Stevenage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Stevenage taking it.
  • Stevenage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wycombe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Wycombe Clean Sheet 13%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wycombe Stevenage
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 EFL Cup
Wycombe vs Stevenage
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 League One
Wycombe vs Stevenage
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Wycombe
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 League One
Wycombe vs Stevenage
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 League One
Stevenage vs Wycombe
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wycombe Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stevenage Compare

Top Goalscorer Kemp D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magennis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wycombe 22 / 100
Stevenage 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wycombe Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wycombe found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Wycombe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Stevenage has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wycombe VS Stevenage
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wycombe

(Home)
26 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 2
Reading
19 Sept
Wigan
0 : 1
Wycombe
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3
Wycombe
05 Sept
Wycombe
3 : 3
Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6

Stevenage

(Away)
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6
Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -