Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xaghra vs St. Venera

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xaghra in this FA Trophy 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Xaghra
15%
Draws
85%
St. Venera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Venera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xaghra lately — more wins on the board than St. Venera.
  • St. Venera are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Xaghra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Xaghra, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%
St. Venera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xaghra St. Venera
Matches Played 19 14
Wins 6 5
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.74 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2019 FA Trophy
Xaghra vs St. Venera
2:0
Sep 11, 2015 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
5:3
Sep 4, 2013 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
1:2
Oct 21, 2012 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xaghra 18 / 100
St. Venera 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xaghra St. Venera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Venera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Venera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Xaghra scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Difficult form: St. Venera registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xaghra VS St. Venera
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xaghra

(Home)
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1
Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6
Hamrun
Page 1 of 4

St. Venera

(Away)
06 Sept
Xaghra
2 : 0
St. Venera
27 Oct
St. Venera
0 : 3
Pembroke
21 Oct
St. Venera
1 : 2
Kalkara
09 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 4
St. Venera
11 Sept
St. Venera
0 : 3
Victoria Wanderers
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq -
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Melita -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
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Sannat Lions -
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Gharghur -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
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Nadur -
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Oratory -
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
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Dingli Swallows -
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
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Gharb -
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St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
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Mtarfa -
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Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida -
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Attard -
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
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Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
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Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
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Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
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Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
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Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
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Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
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Final
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