Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xamax vs Rapperswil-Jona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Bayard R.
6' Event
Mupemba N.
28' Event
Mupemba N.
Assist: Ryter Y.

AI Match Summary

Rapperswil-Jona in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rapperswil-Jona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Xamax
15%
Draws
59%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona have won more games recently than Xamax.
  • Win probability leans Rapperswil-Jona's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Xamax here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Xamax Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xamax Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:3
May 8, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Xamax
2:3
Mar 15, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Rapperswil-Jona
3:2
Oct 24, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Xamax
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xamax Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Mupemba N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xamax 12 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xamax Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapperswil-Jona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Rapperswil-Jona conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Xamax went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xamax VS Rapperswil-Jona
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xamax

(Home)
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
25 Sept
Zurich
3 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
Page 1 of 6

Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)