Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xamax vs Yverdon

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Maladière, Neuchâtel
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fazliu V.
(Penalty)
14'
Mossi A.
19'
Ambrose P.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Xamax and Yverdon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yverdon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Xamax
20%
Draws
58%
Yverdon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Yverdon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Yverdon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xamax Yverdon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Yverdon
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Xamax
2:2
Feb 3, 2026 Swiss Cup
Xamax vs Yverdon
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Yverdon
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Yverdon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xamax Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambrose P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Yverdon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tasar V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xamax 10 / 100
Yverdon 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xamax Yverdon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yverdon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Yverdon let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Xamax has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xamax VS Yverdon
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xamax

(Home)
25 Sept
Zurich
3 : 1
Xamax
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
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Yverdon

(Away)
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)