Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xanthi vs PAOK Kristonis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Xanthi
15%
Draws
32%
PAOK Kristonis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xanthi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xanthi lately — more wins on the board than PAOK Kristonis.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Xanthi taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Xanthi Clean Sheet 20%
PAOK Kristonis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xanthi PAOK Kristonis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Xanthi vs PAOK Kristonis
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Xanthi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xanthi 85 / 100
PAOK Kristonis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xanthi PAOK Kristonis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xanthi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xanthi found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

PAOK Kristonis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Xanthi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xanthi VS PAOK Kristonis
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Xanthi

(Home)
30 Aug
Doxa Dramas
1 : 2
Xanthi
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Xanthi
2 : 0
Panthrakikos
01 Apr
Aetos Ofryniou
0 : 7
Xanthi
28 Mar
Xanthi
0 : 1
Doxa Dramas
Page 1 of 6

PAOK Kristonis

(Away)
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
3 : 1
Orestis Orestiadas
01 Apr
Thermaikos FC
3 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
28 Mar
PAOK Kristonis
1 : 3
Krya Vrysi
22 Mar
PAOK Dytikou
0 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panthrakikos 22 16 3 3 52:16 51
2 Xanthi 22 12 8 2 48:17 44
3 Doxa Dramas 22 13 4 5 41:25 43
4 Iraklis Thermaikou 22 10 8 4 31:18 38
5 Poseidonas Michanionas 22 8 10 4 28:22 34
6 Aetos Ofryniou 22 10 3 9 37:37 33
7 PAOK Kristonis 22 7 8 7 24:28 29
8 Krya Vrysi 22 6 8 8 29:30 26
9 Thermaikos FC 22 6 4 12 19:32 22
10 Kilkisiakos 22 5 6 11 26:38 21
11 PAOK Dytikou 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Orestis Orestiadas 22 1 1 20 12:63 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2025/2026 (Losers stage)