Sport Picks

Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Mario Camposeco

Xelaju

2 - 1

Deportivo Mixco

Our Tip

Match Events

Lopez A.

11'

Quiros D.

27'

Sub

Aldo L. In: Lemus K.

Out: Aldo L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Xelaju in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Xelaju

11%

Draws

Deportivo Mixco

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Xelaju have won more games recently than Deportivo Mixco.
Xelaju are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Xelaju	Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played	35	32
Wins	16	13
Draws	9	7
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Nacional

Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

3:1

Feb 23, 2026 Liga Nacional

Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Oct 18, 2025 Liga Nacional

Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Aug 9, 2025 Liga Nacional

Deportivo Mixco vs Xelaju

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Apr 10, 2025 Liga Nacional

Xelaju vs Deportivo Mixco

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Quiros D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 86 / 100

Deportivo Mixco 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Xelaju Deportivo Mixco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Deportivo Mixco has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Xelaju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Deportivo Mixco

1.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Xelaju	22	11	6	5	34:19	39
2	Municipal	22	11	5	6	32:21	38
3	Deportivo Mixco	22	10	6	6	30:26	36
4	Comunicaciones	22	11	2	9	28:26	35
5	Antigua	22	9	7	6	34:29	34
6	Coban Imperial	22	8	8	6	29:22	32
7	Guastatoya	22	8	7	7	29:21	31
8	Marquense	22	9	3	10	25:29	30
9	Mictlan	22	7	6	9	25:36	27
10	Malacateco	22	6	4	12	19:25	22
11	Aurora F.C.	22	4	8	10	14:30	20
12	Deportivo Achuapa	22	5	4	13	17:32	19