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Xelaju vs Malacateco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xelaju host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Xelaju have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Malacateco's 0.9 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Xelaju have won 3 to Malacateco's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.00) point toward Xelaju. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Xelaju
20%
Draws
29%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Xelaju have won more games recently than Malacateco.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Xelaju taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 20%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Malacateco
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.66 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Xelaju
2:2
Apr 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Malacateco
1:0
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Xelaju
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Malacateco
3:0
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Xelaju
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 85 / 100
Malacateco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Xelaju scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Malacateco has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Xelaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Malacateco
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
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Malacateco

(Away)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)