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Xelaju vs Petapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2018/2019 Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Felix C.
34' Event
Vivanco G. J.
46' Event
Felix C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2018/2019 game between Xelaju and Petapa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Xelaju
15%
Draws
0%
Petapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xelaju come out ahead of Petapa on wins alone.
  • Xelaju are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 16%
Petapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Petapa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.63 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Petapa
3:0
Feb 9, 2019 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Xelaju
1:0
Nov 8, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Xelaju
1:0
Sep 9, 2018 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Petapa
2:1
Apr 21, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Xelaju
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Felix C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vivanco G. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Petapa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 84 / 100
Petapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Petapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petapa has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Petapa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Xelaju scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

Petapa

(Away)
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3
Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0
Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1
Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 22 12 5 5 36:20 41
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 4 6 35:25 40
3 Comunicaciones 22 11 6 5 32:14 39
4 Municipal 22 10 6 6 37:22 36
5 Malacateco 22 10 6 6 24:20 36
6 Guastatoya 22 9 8 5 27:16 35
7 Deportivo Chiantla 22 8 6 8 21:25 30
8 Xelaju 22 8 5 9 27:25 29
9 Siquinala 22 7 5 10 23:25 26
10 Iztapa 22 7 4 11 21:28 25
11 Sanarate 22 7 2 13 22:38 23
12 Petapa 22 2 1 19 12:59 7
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)