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Xelaju vs Suchitepequez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xelaju host Suchitepequez in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Xelaju have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Suchitepequez's 1.28 scored and 1.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Xelaju slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.13) back Xelaju to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Xelaju
20%
Draws
23%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Xelaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Xelaju a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 20%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Suchitepequez
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Xelaju
2:2
Apr 8, 2018 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Suchitepequez
4:3
Feb 11, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Xelaju
1:1
Oct 12, 2017 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Suchitepequez
4:1
Aug 9, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Xelaju
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 76 / 100
Suchitepequez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suchitepequez has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Xelaju's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Solid form: Xelaju remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Suchitepequez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
08 Nov
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Xelaju
03 Nov
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
29 Oct
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 0
Xelaju
24 Oct
Xelaju
1 : 0
Municipal
20 Oct
Antigua
3 : 0
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

Suchitepequez

(Away)
07 Nov
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Suchitepequez
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0
Malacateco
28 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
25 Oct
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)