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Xerez CD vs Linares

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Chapín, Jerez
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gutierrez I.
(Penalty)
78' Event
Harper J.
90'
Lopez V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
37%
Linares
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Linares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Xerez CD have won more games recently than Linares.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 68%
Linares Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Linares
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.77 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Linares
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs Xerez CD
2:2
May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Linares
2:0
Dec 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs Xerez CD
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Linares Compare

Top Goalscorer Harper J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 42 / 100
Linares 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Linares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linares has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Xerez CD found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Xerez CD has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS Linares
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
14 Aug
Portuense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
07 Aug
Chiclana
0 : 1
Xerez CD
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Linares

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)