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Xerez CD vs Puente Genil

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Chapín, Jerez
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Araiza A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Xerez CD and Puente Genil finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puente Genil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Xerez CD
35%
Draws
45%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Xerez CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Puente Genil are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Puente Genil have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Xerez CD Clean Sheet 27%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez CD Puente Genil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez CD vs Puente Genil
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs Xerez CD
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Xerez CD
3:2
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Xerez CD vs Puente Genil
4:0
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Xerez CD
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez CD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Araiza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez CD 30 / 100
Puente Genil 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez CD Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puente Genil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Puente Genil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Xerez CD has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Xerez CD found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Xerez CD VS Puente Genil
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez CD

(Home)
27 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Xerez CD
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
29 Aug
Sanluqueno
1 : 1
Xerez CD
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Puente Genil

(Away)
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
13 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Puente Genil
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
29 Aug
Pozoblanco
1 : 3
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)