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Xerez Deportivo FC vs Real Madrid C

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xerez Deportivo FC play Real Madrid C in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Xerez Deportivo FC averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Real Madrid C averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Xerez Deportivo FC won 0, Real Madrid C won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 30, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Xerez Deportivo FC and 1.50 for Real Madrid C. This points to a Real Madrid C double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Xerez Deportivo FC
28%
Draws
40%
Real Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Real Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Xerez Deportivo FC picked up more points recently compared to Real Madrid C.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 16%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC Real Madrid C
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Xerez Deportivo FC vs Real Madrid C
0:2
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Real Madrid C vs Xerez Deportivo FC
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Real Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Gines A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navascues L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 32 / 100
Real Madrid C 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC Real Madrid C

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Madrid C or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Xerez Deportivo FC attacking → ← attacking Real Madrid C

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez Deportivo FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Real Madrid C let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Xerez Deportivo FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Real Madrid C lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 34
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63