Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Xewkija advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xewkija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Xewkija carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Xewkija a 51% chance of winning this.
- Xewkija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Xewkija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Xewkija Clean Sheet 16%
Mdina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xewkija | Mdina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 12 |
| Wins | 19 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.45 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 12, 2011 FA Trophy
Xewkija vs Mdina
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xewkija 84 / 100
Mdina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xewkija Mdina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Xewkija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Xewkija scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Mdina conceded in 92% of 12 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Xewkija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Xewkija VS Mdina
3.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 7
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Xewkija
(Home) 25 Apr
Melita
3 : 1 Xewkija
19 Mar
Gudja
2 : 3 Xewkija
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
04 Jan
Zabbar
1 : 0 Xewkija
06 Dec
Melita
0 : 1 Xewkija
Page 1 of 7
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
14 Jan
Xewkija
0 : 3 Gudja
19 Nov
Xewkija
2 : 0 Lija
23 Dec
Xewkija
0 : 3 Fgura
01 Dec
Xewkija
5 : 2 Mgarr
Page 1 of 2
Mdina
(Away) 06 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
7 : 0 Mdina
30 Nov
Mdina
1 : 4 Pieta
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1 Gharb
09 Sept
Zebbug Rovers
0 : 1 Mdina
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3 Mellieha
Page 1 of 3
06 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
7 : 0 Mdina
09 Sept
Zebbug Rovers
0 : 1 Mdina
13 Sept
Nadur
1 : 0 Mdina
27 Oct
Fgura
1 : 2 Mdina
12 Nov
Xewkija
2 : 1 Mdina
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 0
Gzira 1
Siggiewi 1
Xghajra 0
Melita 0
Mellieha 1
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
San Gwann 2
Tarxien -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 1
Pieta 5
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Fgura 2
Msida 3
Senglea 6
Zebbug 0
Mdina 1
Xewkija 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zabbar 1
Marsaskala FC 0
TBD -
Valletta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Gudja 1
Pembroke 2
Kirkop 3
Naxxar Lions 1
Birzebbuga 1
Rabat Ajax 3
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Zejtun 3
Luqa 3
Zurrieq 2
TBD -
Floriana -
St. George's FC 5
Mtarfa 0
Sannat Lions 1
Gharghur 2
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Nadur 1
St. Andrews 2
Lija 3
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 3
Dingli Swallows 5
Qrendi 1
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Qormi 1
Gzira 0
Siggiewi 0
Mellieha 1
Marsaxlokk 5
San Gwann 3
Tarxien 0
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 1
Msida 0
Senglea 0
Xewkija 3
Sliema 4
Mqabba FC 2
Zabbar 0
Valletta 2
Hibernians 5
Pembroke 3
Kirkop 0
Rabat Ajax 3
Balzan FC 2
Zejtun 1
Luqa 1
Floriana 6
St. George's FC 2
Gharghur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Lija 6
Birkirkara 4
Vittoriosa 0
Dingli Swallows 1
Hamrun 3
1/8-finals
Qormi 5
Mellieha 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Pieta 5
Mosta FC 3
Xewkija 1
Sliema 2
Valletta 5
Hibernians 5
Rabat Ajax 0
Balzan FC 0
Floriana 1
St. George's FC 2
Lija 1
Birkirkara 2
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Qormi 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Valletta 3
Hibernians 1
Floriana 0
St. George's FC 1
Hamrun 3
Semi-finals
Qormi 4
Valletta 3
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Final
Qormi 1
Hibernians 3
