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Xghajra vs Gharb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Gharb advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Xghajra
15%
Draws
42%
Gharb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xghajra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Xghajra have managed 0.6 goals a game lately — Gharb are scoring more at 1.
  • Model gives Xghajra a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gharb, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Xghajra Clean Sheet 10%
Gharb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xghajra Gharb
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 2 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 27 5
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 3.17 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.91 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2018 FA Trophy
Gharb vs Xghajra
2:1
Sep 3, 2016 FA Trophy
Xghajra vs Gharb
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xghajra 83 / 100
Gharb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xghajra Gharb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xghajra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gharb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 7 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gharb's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Xghajra scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Xghajra VS Gharb
0.25 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 3.57
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Xghajra

(Home)
28 Oct
Pembroke
3 : 0
Xghajra
06 Sept
Gharb
2 : 1
Xghajra
22 Oct
Xewkija
5 : 2
Xghajra
11 Sept
Xghajra
2 : 1
Msida
03 Sept
Xghajra
4 : 1
St. Lawrence
Page 1 of 6

Gharb

(Away)
15 Sept
Gharb
0 : 2
Xewkija
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1
Gharb
06 Sept
Gharb
2 : 1
Xghajra
09 Sept
Nadur
7 : 1
Gharb
03 Sept
Xghajra
1 : 2
Gharb
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb 2
Xghajra 1
TBD -
Nadur -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
St. Lawrence -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratory -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/64-finals
Victoria Wanderers 3
St. Venera 0
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Xewkija 6
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 7
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida 1
Luqa 0
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem 3
Kalkara 2
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
Mdina 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar 2
Xbiex 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 0
Kirkop 4
St. Lawrence 3
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Xaghra 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 0
Oratory 5
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/32-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Melita 1
Zabbar 1
Mgarr 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa 4
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi 1
Xewkija 4
Sirens 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Nadur 4
Siggiewi 3
St. George's FC 2
Msida 0
Mqabba FC 1
Ghajnsielem 4
Naxxar Lions 1
Zejtun 1
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 3
Mellieha 2
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
Munxar 0
Gharghur 8
Pieta 1
Kirkop 0
St. Lawrence 0
Lija 5
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
San Gwann 4
Zebbug 2
Fgura 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea 7
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 5
Qrendi 2
Oratory 1
Gudja 0
Swieqi 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/16-finals
Victoria Wanderers 5
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 0
St. Andrews 3
Marsa 3
Xewkija 2
Sirens 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 2
Nadur 0
Siggiewi 0
Mqabba FC 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 0
Floriana 5
Tarxien 6
Gharghur 0
Pieta 0
Lija 2
Valletta 1
San Gwann 0
Zebbug 1
Balzan FC 3
Senglea 3
Hibernians 2
Gzira 2
Vittoriosa 3
Qrendi 1
Swieqi 0
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
1/8-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
St. Andrews 0
Marsa 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 1
Mqabba FC 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Floriana 4
Tarxien 3
Lija 0
Valletta 0
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 2
Vittoriosa 1
Qrendi 0
Sliema 5
Quarter-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Pembroke 0
Hamrun 0
Floriana 2
Tarxien 2
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 0
Sliema 1
Semi-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
Floriana 3
Tarxien 0
Sliema 3
Final
Floriana 2
Sliema 0