Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xinabajul vs Marquense

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Los Cuchumatanes, Huehuetenango
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hernandez Y.
28'
Yori E.
45'
Rodas M.

AI Match Summary

Xinabajul in this Liga Nacional 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xinabajul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Xinabajul
35%
Draws
45%
Marquense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Marquense have won more games recently than Xinabajul.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 20%
Marquense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Marquense
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Marquense
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Xinabajul
0:3
Sep 29, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Marquense
3:0
Mar 12, 2011 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Xinabajul
1:0
Jan 27, 2011 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Marquense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aquino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Marquense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 32 / 100
Marquense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Marquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xinabajul found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Marquense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Xinabajul has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marquense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xinabajul

(Home)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
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Marquense

(Away)
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)