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Stadium Background

Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Xorazm Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Traore B. In: Akhrorov A.
Out: Traore B.
16' Event
Perica S.
24'
Sayfiev F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Xorazm Urganch and Neftchi Fargona finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftchi Fargona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Xorazm Urganch
17%
Draws
70%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Neftchi Fargona has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Xorazm Urganch.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Neftchi Fargona.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 14%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xorazm Urganch Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 21
Draws 9 2
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona
2:0
Jul 7, 2025 Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Aug 29, 2021 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Neftchi Fargona
0:3
Apr 17, 2021 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Neftchi Fargona Compare

Top Goalscorer Perica S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ismoilov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xorazm Urganch 15 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xorazm Urganch Neftchi Fargona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xorazm Urganch scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Neftchi Fargona let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Xorazm Urganch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Neftchi Fargona lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xorazm Urganch VS Neftchi Fargona
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210