Sport Picks
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Xorazm Stadium, Urgench 
Match Events
34'
34'
Abdullaev U.
37'
37'
Akhrorov A.
44'
44'
Pirmukhamedov A.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Xorazm Urganch and Din. Samarkand finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xorazm Urganch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Din. Samarkand
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Din. Samarkand carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Din. Samarkand a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 16%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Xorazm Urganch | Din. Samarkand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
2:2
Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
3:1
Jun 15, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Pirmukhamedov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Mavretic T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Xorazm Urganch 28 / 100
Din. Samarkand 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Xorazm Urganch Din. Samarkand
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Din. Samarkand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Xorazm Urganch found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Din. Samarkand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Xorazm Urganch has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Xorazm Urganch VS Din. Samarkand
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Xorazm Urganch
(Home) 07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
20 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Lok. Tashkent
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0 Mashal Muborak
28 Jul
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 0 Termez Surkhon
Page 1 of 3
Din. Samarkand
(Away) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
23 Jul
Termez Surkhon
1 : 2 Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
