Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Xorazm Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Abdullaev U.
37'
Akhrorov A.
44' Event
Pirmukhamedov A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Xorazm Urganch and Din. Samarkand finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xorazm Urganch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Xorazm Urganch
33%
Draws
40%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Din. Samarkand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Din. Samarkand carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Din. Samarkand a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Din. Samarkand here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 17%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xorazm Urganch Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
3:1
Jun 15, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Xorazm Urganch
4:0
Apr 29, 2023 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Din. Samarkand
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirmukhamedov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Mavretic T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xorazm Urganch 28 / 100
Din. Samarkand 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xorazm Urganch Din. Samarkand

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xorazm Urganch found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Din. Samarkand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Din. Samarkand has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Xorazm Urganch VS Din. Samarkand
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1283123:1327
3Navbahor Namangan1262416:1120
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5OKMK1254317:1619
6Bunyodkor1261514:1419
7Lok. Tashkent1253415:1518
8Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
9Andijan1151516:1116
10Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Sogdiana1233621:2512
13Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
14Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
15Kokand 19121225510:1611
16Mashal Muborak1210115:213