Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xorazm Urganch vs Istiklol Fergana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Xorazm Urganch play Istiklol Fergana in the Pro Liga 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Xorazm Urganch averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Istiklol Fergana averaged 0.77 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Xorazm Urganch won 1, Istiklol Fergana won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Xorazm Urganch and 1.31 for Istiklol Fergana. This points to a Istiklol Fergana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Xorazm Urganch
30%
Draws
41%
Istiklol Fergana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Istiklol Fergana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Xorazm Urganch picked up more points recently compared to Istiklol Fergana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 18%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xorazm Urganch Istiklol Fergana
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2021 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Istiklol Fergana
0:0
Nov 25, 2020 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Istiklol Fergana
3:1
Nov 9, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Xorazm Urganch
2:0
Oct 25, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
Sep 15, 2020 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Istiklol Fergana
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xorazm Urganch 30 / 100
Istiklol Fergana 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xorazm Urganch Istiklol Fergana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Istiklol Fergana or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Xorazm Urganch attacking → ← attacking Istiklol Fergana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xorazm Urganch scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Istiklol Fergana let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Xorazm Urganch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Istiklol Fergana lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 39
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185