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XV de Jau U20 vs Castanhal U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2022
XV de Jau U20 Logo

XV de Jau U20

0 - 1
FT
Castanhal U20 Logo

Castanhal U20

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Samuel
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Castanhal U20 in this Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2022 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
XV de Jau U20
20%
Draws
50%
Castanhal U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castanhal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to XV de Jau U20 lately — more wins on the board than Castanhal U20.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Castanhal U20 taking it.
  • XV de Jau U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Castanhal U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
XV de Jau U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Castanhal U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau U20 Castanhal U20
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2022 Copinha
XV de Jau U20 vs Castanhal U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

XV de Jau U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Castanhal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau U20 20 / 100
Castanhal U20 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau U20 Castanhal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castanhal U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castanhal U20 conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

Attacking prowess: XV de Jau U20 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: XV de Jau U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau U20 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
XV de Jau U20
0 : 1
Porto Football U20
Page 1 of 7

Castanhal U20

(Away)
18 Jan
Paysandu PA U20
3 : 1
Castanhal U20
11 Jan
Castanhal U20
1 : 1
Paysandu PA U20
27 Nov
Castanhal U20
3 : 2
Real Naval U20
23 Nov
Real Naval U20
1 : 1
Castanhal U20
09 Nov
Meninos de Ouro U20
4 : 1
Castanhal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense U20 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Bahia U20 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
3 Atletico MT U20 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
4 Monte Azul U20 3 0 0 3 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
2 Guarani U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Tanabi U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Aquidauanense U20 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Sport Recife U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Confianca U20 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Atletico-MG U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Desportiva Alianca U20 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Andira U20 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
2 Francana U20 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
3 EC Juventude U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
4 Confianca EC U20 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Jacuipense U20 3 2 0 1 10:1 6
3 Fast Clube U20 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Matonense U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Iguacu U20 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Chapadinha U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Criciuma U20 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Comercial U20 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Ferroviaria U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Rondoniense SC U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Operario PR U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino U20 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Santa Cruz U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Uniao ABC U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Uniao Iacanga U20 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio U20 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
2 Castanhal U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 XV de Jau U20 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Mixto U20 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 America MG U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Sao Carlos U20 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Sao-Carlense U20 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletico-PR U20 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Velo Clube U20 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Uniao Sao Joao U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Taquarussu U20 3 0 1 2 0:10 1
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League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba U20 3 3 0 0 9:4 9
2 EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Vitoria U20 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Manthiqueira U20 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
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League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ U20 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
2 Taubate U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Aparecidense U20 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Petrolina U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
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League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Resende U20 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 River-PI U20 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Sao Jose EC U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
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League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Ituano U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Uniao Suzano U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Concordia U20 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
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League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
2 IAPE U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Goias U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Botafogo SP U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
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League Standings (Group 18)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Bernardo FC U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Ceara U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Paulista U20 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Bragantino PA U20 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
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League Standings (Group 19)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Bragantino U20 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Fluminense Piaui U20 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Jaguariuna U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
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League Standings (Group 20)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Retro U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Itapirense U20 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Palmas U20 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
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League Standings (Group 21)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Sao Caetano U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Perilima U20 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
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League Standings (Group 22)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Londrina U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Aster Brasil U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Sao Bento U20 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
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League Standings (Group 23)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osasco Audax U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Joinville U20 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Santo Andre U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Camacariense U20 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
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League Standings (Group 24)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 3 3 0 0 19:2 9
2 SKA Brasil U20 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Lagarto U20 3 1 1 1 6:8 4
4 Rio Claro U20 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
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League Standings (Group 25)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional U20 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Portuguesa U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Uniao Mogi U20 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
4 Sao Raimundo RR U20 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
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League Standings (Group 26)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai U20 3 1 2 0 10:1 5
2 Flamengo SP U20 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Guarulhos U20 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
4 Santana EC U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
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League Standings (Group 27)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico GO U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Maua FC U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Volta Redonda U20 3 1 1 1 9:5 4
4 Mauaense U20 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
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League Standings (Group 28)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Agua Santa U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Real Ariquemes U20 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 ASSU U20 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
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League Standings (Group 29)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 3 2 1 0 17:3 7
2 Osasco Sporting U20 3 2 1 0 12:5 7
3 Floresta EC U20 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Forte U20 3 0 0 3 3:20 0
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League Standings (Group 30)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Nautico U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Internacional de Limeira U20 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Serranense U20 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
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League Standings (Group 31)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 CA Juventus U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Portuguesa Santista U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 CRB U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
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League Standings (Group 32)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coritiba U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Real Brasilia U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Nacional SP U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Capivariano U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
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