Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2019

XV de Jau

3 - 2

AA Itarare

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2019 game between XV de Jau and AA Itarare finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward XV de Jau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

XV de Jau

20%

Draws

23%

AA Itarare

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

XV de Jau carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans XV de Jau's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

XV de Jau Clean Sheet 20%

AA Itarare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	XV de Jau	AA Itarare
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	8	11
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	0.93	1.47
Goals Conceded	0.73	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.10	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2019 Paulista A4

XV de Jau vs AA Itarare

3:2

Jul 21, 2019 Paulista A4

AA Itarare vs XV de Jau

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau 85 / 100

AA Itarare 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

XV de Jau AA Itarare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Itarare has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

XV de Jau has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AA Itarare lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau VS -

1 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau

(Home)

18 Apr

Marilia

3 : 2

XV de Jau

12 Apr

XV de Jau

0 : 0

Marilia

05 Apr

XV de Jau

2 : 0

Rio Claro

28 Mar

Rio Claro

0 : 1

XV de Jau

21 Mar

Desportivo

1 : 2

XV de Jau

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AA Itarare

(Away)

20 Aug

Gremio Prudente

2 : 1

AA Itarare

14 Aug

AA Itarare

0 : 3

Gremio Prudente

06 Aug

SKA Brasil

1 : 2

AA Itarare

31 Jul

AA Itarare

0 : 1

Itapirense

24 Jul

AA Itarare

3 : 3

Catanduva FC

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