Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2023

XV de Jau

2 - 1

Mauaense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

XV de Jau in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored XV de Jau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

XV de Jau

20%

Draws

23%

Mauaense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

XV de Jau have won more games recently than Mauaense.
Win probability leans XV de Jau's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

XV de Jau Clean Sheet 20%

Mauaense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	XV de Jau	Mauaense
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	13	8
Draws	8	12
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	0.93	1
Goals Conceded	0.73	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Paulista A4

XV de Jau vs Mauaense

2:1

Jun 30, 2023 Paulista A4

Mauaense vs XV de Jau

0:0

Aug 12, 2017 Paulista A4

Mauaense vs XV de Jau

0:2

Jul 23, 2017 Paulista A4

XV de Jau vs Mauaense

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau 67 / 100

Mauaense 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

XV de Jau Mauaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mauaense conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: XV de Jau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mauaense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau VS Mauaense

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau

(Home)

18 Apr

Marilia

3 : 2

XV de Jau

12 Apr

XV de Jau

0 : 0

Marilia

05 Apr

XV de Jau

2 : 0

Rio Claro

28 Mar

Rio Claro

0 : 1

XV de Jau

21 Mar

Desportivo

1 : 2

XV de Jau

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Mauaense

(Away)

20 Jun

Manthiqueira

2 : 1

Mauaense

13 Jun

Mauaense

0 : 1

Uniao Mogi

06 Jun

Barcelona SP

0 : 2

Mauaense

30 May

Maua FC

1 : 1

Mauaense

23 May

Mauaense

1 : 2

Itaqua

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