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XV de Jau vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Camilo
83' Event
Mineiro K.

AI Match Summary

Paulista in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
XV de Jau
22%
Draws
18%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • XV de Jau have won more games recently than Paulista.
  • XV de Jau are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%
Paulista Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric XV de Jau Paulista
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Paulista
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

XV de Jau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Paulista Compare

Top Goalscorer Camilo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mineiro K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

XV de Jau 68 / 100
Paulista 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
XV de Jau Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

XV de Jau has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: XV de Jau scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

XV de Jau VS Paulista
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

XV de Jau

(Home)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
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Paulista

(Away)
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1
Paulista
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Primavera EC
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3
Paulista
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)