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Yadanarbon vs Hantharwady United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Zaw P. P.
53' Event
Kyaw K. M.
86' Event
Aung Than Toe

AI Match Summary

Hantharwady United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hantharwady United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Yadanarbon
30%
Draws
16%
Hantharwady United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yadanarbon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Hantharwady United haven't matched Yadanarbon's recent run of results.
  • Yadanarbon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hantharwady United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Yadanarbon Clean Sheet 18%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yadanarbon Hantharwady United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League
Hantharwady United vs Yadanarbon
0:1
Jan 7, 2026 National League
Yadanarbon vs Hantharwady United
1:4
Jan 12, 2025 National League
Yadanarbon vs Hantharwady United
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Yadanarbon
1:0
Oct 28, 2023 National League
Yadanarbon vs Hantharwady United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yadanarbon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyaw K. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Than Toe
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zaw P. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yadanarbon 85 / 100
Hantharwady United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yadanarbon Hantharwady United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yadanarbon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yadanarbon's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hantharwady United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Yadanarbon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yadanarbon VS Hantharwady United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yadanarbon

(Home)
04 Sept
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Yadanarbon
28 Aug
Chinland
1 : 2
Yadanarbon
16 Mar
Dagon Port
1 : 0
Yadanarbon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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Hantharwady United

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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