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Yagoda vs Arda

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yagoda in this Third League - South-East 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yagoda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yagoda
15%
Draws
85%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arda lately — more wins on the board than Yagoda.
  • Win probability leans Arda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Yagoda Clean Sheet 20%
Arda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yagoda Arda
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 2 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0.59 1.69
Goals Conceded 3.38 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2018 Third League - South-East
Yagoda vs Arda
0:12
Aug 19, 2017 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Yagoda
6:0
Mar 13, 2011 Third League - South-East
Yagoda vs Arda
2:0
Aug 29, 2010 Third League - South-East
Arda vs Yagoda
4:2
Mar 17, 2010 Third League - South-East
Yagoda vs Arda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yagoda 10 / 100
Arda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yagoda Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Yagoda scored in 34% of their last 32 outings.

Arda has conceded goals in 58% of their last 36 outings.

Arda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arda
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yagoda

(Home)
03 Jun
Yagoda
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
26 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Yagoda
20 May
Yagoda
0 : 3
Rozova Dolina
12 May
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 0
Yagoda
09 May
Yagoda
0 : 3
Sokol Markovo
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Arda

(Away)
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
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