Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yague vs Cenicero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Berges A.
34' Event
Ramos J.
43' Event
Berges A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Yague and Cenicero finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Yague
20%
Draws
36%
Cenicero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Yague carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yague have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Yague Clean Sheet 17%
Cenicero Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yague Cenicero
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 2
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.15 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Cenicero
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs Yague
0:3
Sep 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Cenicero
2:1
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs Yague
1:1
Nov 7, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Cenicero
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yague Compare

Top Goalscorer Berges A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Cenicero Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yague 31 / 100
Cenicero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yague Cenicero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cenicero let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Yague found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Yague remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yague VS Cenicero
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Yague

(Home)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
Page 1 of 7

Cenicero

(Away)
03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1
Cenicero
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2
Cenicero
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Comillas CF
0 : 0
Cenicero
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)