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Yangcheon TNT vs Pyeongchang United

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
1 - 2
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yangcheon TNT play Pyeongchang United in the Korean Cup. Pyeongchang United are favorites here. Recently, Yangcheon TNT averaged 2.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. Pyeongchang United averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Yangcheon TNT won 0, Pyeongchang United won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.06 for Yangcheon TNT and 1.94 for Pyeongchang United. This points to a Pyeongchang United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Yangcheon TNT
15%
Draws
59%
Pyeongchang United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pyeongchang United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Yangcheon TNT picked up more points recently compared to Pyeongchang United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.06 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Yangcheon TNT Clean Sheet 10%
Pyeongchang United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangcheon TNT Pyeongchang United
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 1 12
Draws 0 2
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.75 1.41
Goals Conceded 2 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 5.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Yangcheon TNT vs Pyeongchang United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangcheon TNT Compare

Top Goalscorer I-joon H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.85
Avg xA / game 2.5

Pyeongchang United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangcheon TNT 25 / 100
Pyeongchang United 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangcheon TNT Pyeongchang United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pyeongchang United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Pyeongchang United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yangcheon TNT attacking → ← attacking Pyeongchang United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangcheon TNT scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Pyeongchang United let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Yangcheon TNT went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pyeongchang United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 38
5.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13