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Yangon United vs Ayeyawady

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Yangon United
15%
Draws
24%
Ayeyawady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Yangon United have won more games recently than Ayeyawady.
  • Win probability leans Yangon United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Yangon United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 68%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon United Ayeyawady
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 25 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.87 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 National League
Yangon United vs Ayeyawady
0:0
May 10, 2025 MNL League Cup
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:1
Feb 17, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Yangon United
0:4
Aug 25, 2024 National League
Yangon United vs Ayeyawady
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon United 95 / 100
Ayeyawady 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon United Ayeyawady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangon United found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Yangon United went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ayeyawady has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Yangon United VS Ayeyawady
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon United

(Home)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

Ayeyawady

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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