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Yangon United vs Hantharwady United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Ghislain M.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Yangon United and Hantharwady United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Yangon United
20%
Draws
9%
Hantharwady United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Hantharwady United haven't matched Yangon United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Yangon United a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 68%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon United Hantharwady United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 25 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.87 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 National League
Hantharwady United vs Yangon United
0:4
Oct 25, 2025 National League
Yangon United vs Hantharwady United
1:0
Jun 19, 2025 MNL League Cup
Yangon United vs Hantharwady United
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Yangon United
2:2
Jul 21, 2024 National League
Yangon United vs Hantharwady United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghislain M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hantharwady United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon United 95 / 100
Hantharwady United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon United Hantharwady United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangon United found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Yangon United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hantharwady United conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Yangon United VS Hantharwady United
2.88 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon United

(Home)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
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Hantharwady United

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)