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Yangon United vs Kachin United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

MNL League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Naing Oakkar
18' Event
Ghislain M.
22' Event
Ghislain M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. The second leg ended 7-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Yangon United
20%
Draws
9%
Kachin United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Yangon United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Yangon United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Yangon United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yangon United, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Yangon United have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 20%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon United Kachin United
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 33 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 19
Goals Scored 3.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.42 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 MNL League Cup
Yangon United vs Kachin United
7:0
Aug 7, 2023 National League
Yangon United vs Kachin United
2:1
Mar 6, 2023 National League
Kachin United vs Yangon United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghislain M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Naing Oakkar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Kachin United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon United 85 / 100
Kachin United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon United Kachin United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yangon United scored in 92% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Yangon United has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kachin United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yangon United VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon United

(Home)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
Page 1 of 8

Kachin United

(Away)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 4 3 1 0 25:2 10
2 Dagon Port 4 2 1 1 13:11 7
3 Thitsar Arman 4 1 3 0 8:4 6
4 University 4 1 1 2 14:7 4
5 Young Boy 4 0 0 4 2:38 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
2 Ayeyawady 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
3 Yangon Royals 4 0 4 0 1:1 4
4 Mahar United 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
5 Kachin United 4 0 1 3 1:16 1
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakhine United 4 2 2 0 15:4 8
2 Hantharwady United 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
3 Ispe 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
4 Chinland 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
5 Glory Goal 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yadanarbon 4 3 0 1 13:6 9
2 Myawady 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
3 Dagon 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
4 Yarmanya United 4 1 1 2 12:15 4
5 Silver Stars 4 0 0 4 7:27 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)