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Yangon United vs Mahar United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Ghislain M.
63' Event
Rintaro H.
82' Event
Sithu K.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Yangon United and Mahar United finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Yangon United
15%
Draws
24%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Yangon United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Yangon United taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Yangon United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 68%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangon United Mahar United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 27 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.94 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.47 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 National League
Yangon United vs Mahar United
2:0
Feb 25, 2026 National League
Mahar United vs Yangon United
0:2
Jan 6, 2026 National League
Yangon United vs Mahar United
4:0
May 16, 2025 MNL League Cup
Mahar United vs Yangon United
2:6
Jan 11, 2025 National League
Mahar United vs Yangon United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Rintaro H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ghislain M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Mahar United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangon United 95 / 100
Mahar United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangon United Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yangon United scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Mahar United let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Yangon United has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yangon United VS Mahar United
3.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangon United

(Home)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
Page 1 of 7

Mahar United

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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