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Yangpyeong vs Dangjin Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yangpyeong host Dangjin Citizen in the K3 League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Yangpyeong at 1.38 goals for, 1.93 against; Dangjin Citizen at 1.93 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Dangjin Citizen slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.56, favoring Dangjin Citizen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Yangpyeong
15%
Draws
73%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dangjin Citizen come out ahead of Yangpyeong on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangpyeong Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Yangpyeong
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangpyeong 22 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangpyeong Dangjin Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dangjin Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dangjin Citizen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Yangpyeong's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Dangjin Citizen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yangpyeong VS Dangjin Citizen
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangpyeong

(Home)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
Page 1 of 6

Dangjin Citizen

(Away)
04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)