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Stadium Background

Yangpyeong vs Siheung Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kim H.
45' Event
Seo Yoo-Min
57' Event
Kwon Wan-Kyu

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Yangpyeong and Siheung Citizen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siheung Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Yangpyeong
15%
Draws
76%
Siheung Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siheung Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Siheung Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Siheung Citizen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yangpyeong Siheung Citizen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Siheung Citizen
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yangpyeong
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Siheung Citizen
2:0
May 17, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yangpyeong
0:0
Jul 6, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yangpyeong
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yangpyeong Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seo Yoo-Min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yangpyeong 10 / 100
Siheung Citizen 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yangpyeong Siheung Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangpyeong's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Siheung Citizen conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Yangpyeong has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yangpyeong VS Siheung Citizen
2.88 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yangpyeong

(Home)
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
26 Jul
Yangpyeong
2 : 4
Busan Kyotong
15 Jul
Hwaseong
4 : 3
Yangpyeong
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Siheung Citizen

(Away)
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
29 Jul
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1
Siheung Citizen
25 Jul
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 0
Siheung Citizen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
6 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
7 Gyeongju KHNP 21 7 8 6 30:28 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 21 6 8 7 23:25 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)