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Yaracuyanos vs Aragua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Silva J.
43' Event
Gomez R.
45' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-5. The second leg ended 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Yaracuyanos
15%
Draws
50%
Aragua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Aragua haven't matched Yaracuyanos's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Aragua taking it.
  • Yaracuyanos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aragua, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Yaracuyanos Clean Sheet 12%
Aragua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yaracuyanos Aragua
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Yaracuyanos vs Aragua
2:5
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Aragua vs Yaracuyanos
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2
Yaracuyanos vs Aragua
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Yaracuyanos
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga FUTVE 2
Yaracuyanos vs Aragua
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yaracuyanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yaracuyanos 19 / 100
Aragua 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yaracuyanos Aragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Yaracuyanos scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aragua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Yaracuyanos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yaracuyanos VS Aragua
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yaracuyanos

(Home)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
04 Oct
Zamora 2
1 : 4
Yaracuyanos
30 Sept
Yaracuyanos
3 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello B
26 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 3
Yaracuyanos
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
Page 1 of 6

Aragua

(Away)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams