Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yaracuyanos vs Caracas

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Gonzalez S.
65' Event
Cordoba A.
73' Event
Villarreal A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Yaracuyanos
15%
Draws
37%
Caracas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yaracuyanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yaracuyanos come out ahead of Caracas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Yaracuyanos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Yaracuyanos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caracas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Yaracuyanos Clean Sheet 68%
Caracas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yaracuyanos Caracas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Yaracuyanos vs Caracas
2:3
Sep 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Yaracuyanos
3:1
Mar 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Yaracuyanos vs Caracas
3:3
May 17, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Yaracuyanos vs Caracas
0:0
Apr 13, 2014 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Yaracuyanos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yaracuyanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vegas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yaracuyanos 95 / 100
Caracas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yaracuyanos Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yaracuyanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Yaracuyanos found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Caracas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Yaracuyanos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yaracuyanos VS Caracas
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yaracuyanos

(Home)
04 Oct
Zamora 2
1 : 4
Yaracuyanos
30 Sept
Yaracuyanos
3 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello B
26 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 3
Yaracuyanos
19 Sept
Yaracuyanos
0 : 1
Lara
13 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
Page 1 of 6

Caracas

(Away)
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Deportivo Miranda 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Atletico Barinas 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Yaracuyanos 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
3 Aragua 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Barquisimeto 4 1 0 3 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Urena 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
3 Lara 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Trujillanos 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Mineros 4 2 1 1 12:2 7
3 Dynamo Puerto FC 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
4 Bolivar 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams