Sport Picks

Kuwait

Division 1

Yarmouk

1 - 2

Burgan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Yarmouk and Burgan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Yarmouk

Draws

Burgan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yarmouk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Burgan haven't matched Yarmouk's recent run of results.
Yarmouk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Yarmouk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Yarmouk Clean Sheet 68%

Burgan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yarmouk	Burgan
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	7
Draws	5	11
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	2.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Division 1

Burgan vs Yarmouk

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Oct 4, 2025 Division 1

Yarmouk vs Burgan

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Apr 2, 2024 Division 1

Burgan vs Yarmouk

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Feb 14, 2024 Division 1

Yarmouk vs Burgan

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Nov 5, 2023 Division 1

Burgan vs Yarmouk

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yarmouk 95 / 100

Burgan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yarmouk Burgan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Yarmouk scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Burgan has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Yarmouk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yarmouk VS Burgan

2.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yarmouk	13	9	2	2	30:12	29
2	Al Sahel	13	9	2	2	24:12	29
3	Al Sulaibikhat	13	9	1	3	28:14	28
4	Al-Jazira	13	7	3	3	26:18	24
5	Khaitan	13	5	2	6	14:15	17
6	Burgan	13	3	5	5	17:21	14
7	Al Shamiya FC	13	2	1	10	14:40	7
8	Sporty FC	13	0	0	13	6:27	0