Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy 2020/2021. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Bideford have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Yate have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Yate slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2024, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.06 - 1.88) back Yate to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Yate have won more games recently than Bideford.
- Yate are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Yate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Yate, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Yate have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yate | Bideford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Bideford conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Yate scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
Bideford's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.