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Yaxley vs Biggleswade FC

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yaxley play Biggleswade FC in the FA Trophy 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yaxley averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. Biggleswade FC averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Yaxley won 1, Biggleswade FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 9, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Yaxley and 2.94 for Biggleswade FC. This points to a Yaxley double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Yaxley
15%
Draws
42%
Biggleswade FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yaxley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Yaxley picked up more points recently compared to Biggleswade FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Yaxley Clean Sheet 10%
Biggleswade FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yaxley Biggleswade FC
Matches Played 18 27
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 0
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.22 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2021 FA Trophy
Yaxley vs Biggleswade FC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yaxley 41 / 100
Biggleswade FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yaxley Biggleswade FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yaxley or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yaxley attacking → ← attacking Biggleswade FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yaxley scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

Biggleswade FC let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Yaxley went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Biggleswade FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 33
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00