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Stadium Background

Yeclano vs CD Estepona

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Campo de la Constitucion, Yecla
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Hernandez J.
31' Event
Candelas A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Yeclano
35%
Draws
26%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yeclano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Estepona lately — more wins on the board than Yeclano.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Yeclano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 68%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeclano CD Estepona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs CD Estepona
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Yeclano
0:2
Jan 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Yeclano
0:2
Sep 3, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs CD Estepona
1:0
Mar 20, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Yeclano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeclano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Candelas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeclano 59 / 100
CD Estepona 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeclano CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeclano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Yeclano stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Yeclano found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: CD Estepona conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Yeclano VS CD Estepona
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeclano

(Home)
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
08 Aug
Yeclano
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
CD Estepona
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CD Estepona

(Away)
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Real Madrid C
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2
CD Estepona
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)