Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yeclano vs UCAM Murcia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Campo de la Constitucion, Yecla
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Urzelay U.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Rementeria U.
89'
Ruiz J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Yeclano and UCAM Murcia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Yeclano
15%
Draws
40%
UCAM Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeclano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UCAM Murcia come out ahead of Yeclano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Yeclano Clean Sheet 17%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeclano UCAM Murcia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs UCAM Murcia
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Yeclano
1:1
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Yeclano
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Yeclano vs UCAM Murcia
4:2
Oct 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Yeclano
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeclano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rementeria U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UCAM Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeclano 28 / 100
UCAM Murcia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeclano UCAM Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Yeclano's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UCAM Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Yeclano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeclano VS UCAM Murcia
0.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeclano

(Home)
27 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Ilicitano
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
15 Aug
Villarrobledo
0 : 1
Yeclano
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UCAM Murcia

(Away)
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2
Orihuela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)