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Yehuda vs M. Nazareth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yehuda host M. Nazareth in the Leumit League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. M. Nazareth have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Yehuda have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.94. Past meetings favor Yehuda slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2023, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.00, favoring Yehuda. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Yehuda
20%
Draws
19%
M. Nazareth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yehuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Yehuda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Yehuda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Yehuda Clean Sheet 20%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yehuda M. Nazareth
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 17 8
Draws 12 3
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2023 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Yehuda
2:2
Dec 16, 2022 Leumit League
Yehuda vs M. Nazareth
1:1
Mar 7, 2022 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Yehuda
0:0
Dec 3, 2021 Leumit League
Yehuda vs M. Nazareth
0:0
May 18, 2015 Leumit League
Yehuda vs M. Nazareth
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yehuda 85 / 100
M. Nazareth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yehuda M. Nazareth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yehuda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yehuda found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

M. Nazareth let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Solid form: Yehuda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Yehuda VS M. Nazareth
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yehuda

(Home)
23 Oct
Yehuda
5 : 1
Kiryat Yam
19 Oct
H. Raanana
1 : 1
Yehuda
09 Oct
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 1
Yehuda
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
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M. Nazareth

(Away)
23 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
M. Nazareth
16 Oct
M. Nazareth
0 : 4
Hapoel Kfar Saba
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 11 9 1 1 23:8 28
2 Yehuda 11 8 3 0 26:9 27
3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 11 7 2 2 26:18 23
4 H. Ironi Rishon 11 6 3 2 19:13 21
5 H. Raanana 11 6 1 4 22:14 19
6 Kiryat Yam 11 6 1 4 28:21 19
7 Hapoel Afula 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 11 5 2 4 20:14 17
9 MS Kafr Qasim 11 4 1 6 13:12 13
10 Hapoel Kfar Saba 11 4 0 7 17:24 12
11 Kiryat Gat 11 2 5 4 11:13 11
12 M. Nazareth 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
13 Ironi Modiin 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
14 M. Herzliya 11 2 3 6 9:14 9
15 Maccabi Jaffa 11 3 0 8 8:22 9
16 Hapoel Akko 11 0 1 10 0:28 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)