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Yehuda vs SC Ashdod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. SC Ashdod have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Yehuda have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.83. Past meetings favor SC Ashdod slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 14, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.75) back Yehuda to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Yehuda
30%
Draws
38%
SC Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yehuda lately — more wins on the board than SC Ashdod.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Yehuda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Ashdod, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Yehuda Clean Sheet 12%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yehuda SC Ashdod
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 12 5
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly
SC Ashdod vs Yehuda
3:0
Jan 27, 2021 Ligat ha'Al
SC Ashdod vs Yehuda
4:0
Nov 1, 2020 Ligat ha'Al
Yehuda vs SC Ashdod
1:0
Aug 11, 2020 Toto Cup
Yehuda vs SC Ashdod
1:5
Jun 21, 2020 Ligat ha'Al
Yehuda vs SC Ashdod
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yehuda 30 / 100
SC Ashdod 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yehuda SC Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yehuda scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Yehuda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

SC Ashdod let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Yehuda VS SC Ashdod
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Yehuda

(Home)
19 Oct
H. Raanana
1 : 1
Yehuda
09 Oct
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 1
Yehuda
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
Page 1 of 6

SC Ashdod

(Away)
16 Oct
SC Ashdod
0 : 0
Kiryat Gat
12 Oct
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 4
SC Ashdod
01 Oct
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
M. Herzliya
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
MS Kafr Qasim -
TBD -
Gissin Petah Tikva 0
Beitar Petah Tikva 4
Hapoel Arad 1
Kfar Saba 1928 3
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Kiryat Yam -
H. Raanana -
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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 3
FC Shefa-Amr 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 2
Beitar Mevaseret Zion 1
Hapoel Tayibe 2
Hapoel Daliyat 4
Hapoel Akko -
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MS Tira 3
Maccabi Maalot 2
Yehuda -
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SC Ashdod -
FC Dimona 2
Bnei Yehud 0
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H. Ironi Rishon -
Hapoel Yarka 0
Beitar Nahariya 1
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Hapoel Afula -
Maccabi Jaffa -
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Ironi Modiin -
Ironi Nesher 2
Kiryat Haim 0
Ramat Hasharon 2
Bnei Eilat 0
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
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Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
Hapoel Rahat FC 1
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
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M. Nazareth -
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona 0
H. Herzliya 0
Hapoel Azor 1
Nof Hagalil 4
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0
Bnei Herzliya 0
Maccabi Yavne 1
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Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Hapoel Daliyat -
Hapoel Akko -
MS Tira -
Yehuda -
SC Ashdod -
FC Dimona -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Beitar Nahariya -
Hapoel Afula -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Ironi Modiin -
Ironi Nesher -
Ramat Hasharon -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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