Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League

Yelimay Semey 2

2 - 1

FC Astana 2

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Galva Y.

Assist: Zhilin A.

64'

Amangeldinov R.

(Penalty)

79'

Taushev M.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey 2 in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Yelimay Semey 2

17%

Draws

70%

FC Astana 2

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to FC Astana 2 lately — more wins on the board than Yelimay Semey 2.
70% — that's where the model lands on FC Astana 2 taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yelimay Semey 2	FC Astana 2
Matches Played	13	29
Wins	1	11
Draws	3	2
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	0.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	2.13	2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 First League

Yelimay Semey 2 vs FC Astana 2

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Galva Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

FC Astana 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 14 / 100

FC Astana 2 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yelimay Semey 2 FC Astana 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Astana 2 conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey 2 scored in 46% of their last 13 outings.

Solid form: Yelimay Semey 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS FC Astana 2

0.5 Goals Scored 1.75

2.13 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kairat Almaty 2	13	11	2	0	44:7	35
2	Shakhter Karagandy	13	11	1	1	36:5	34
3	Turan	13	8	1	4	25:11	25
4	FC Astana 2	13	6	2	5	24:22	20
5	Akademiya Ontustik	13	6	2	5	19:17	20
6	Jaiyq	13	6	1	6	11:17	19
7	Khan Tengri	13	5	2	6	18:25	17
8	FC Ekibastuz	13	4	5	4	17:24	17
9	Taraz	13	5	1	7	19:19	16
10	Aktobe 2	13	4	4	5	26:39	16
11	Kaspij Aktau 2	13	4	3	6	16:22	15
12	Arys	13	3	1	9	15:28	10
13	Tobol 2	13	1	4	8	21:38	7
14	Yelimay Semey 2	13	1	3	9	10:27	6