Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yelimay Semey 2 vs Taraz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mukanbetzhanov A.
Assist: Lesbek D.
85'
Toybekov E.

AI Match Summary

Taraz in this First League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taraz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yelimay Semey 2
30%
Draws
70%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Taraz have won more games recently than Yelimay Semey 2.
  • Win probability leans Taraz's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Taraz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 Taraz
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Taraz
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Yelimay Semey 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukanbetzhanov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 14 / 100
Taraz 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Yelimay Semey 2 found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (24 games).

Difficult form: Taraz registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS Taraz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

Taraz

(Away)
09 Oct
Taraz
1 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)