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Yelimay Semey 2 vs Tobol 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey 2 host Tobol 2 in the First League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Yelimay Semey 2 at 0.79 goals for, 2.08 against; Tobol 2 at 1.76 for, 2.41 against. Head-to-head, Yelimay Semey 2 have won 0 to Tobol 2's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.19) point toward Tobol 2. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yelimay Semey 2
15%
Draws
85%
Tobol 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tobol 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tobol 2 lately — more wins on the board than Yelimay Semey 2.
  • Tobol 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Tobol 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey 2 Tobol 2
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.79 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.08 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 First League
Tobol 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
Tobol 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey 2 Tobol 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tobol 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tobol 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Yelimay Semey 2 found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (24 games).

Away concern: Tobol 2 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey 2 VS Tobol 2
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yelimay Semey 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

Tobol 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Aktobe 2
4 : 4
Tobol 2
19 Sept
Tobol 2
3 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
11 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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