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Stadium Background

Yelimay Semey vs Jas Qyran

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Abilgazy S.
79' Event
Nurgaliyev E.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2023 game between Yelimay Semey and Jas Qyran finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yelimay Semey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Yelimay Semey
11%
Draws
9%
Jas Qyran
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yelimay Semey come out ahead of Jas Qyran on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Yelimay Semey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 68%
Jas Qyran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey Jas Qyran
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 4
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2023 First League
Yelimay Semey vs Jas Qyran
2:0
Apr 22, 2023 First League
Jas Qyran vs Yelimay Semey
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey Compare

Top Goalscorer Abilgazy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nurgaliyev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jas Qyran Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 86 / 100
Jas Qyran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey Jas Qyran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Jas Qyran let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Yelimay Semey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey VS Jas Qyran
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yelimay Semey28244076:1776
2Turan28223385:2769
3Zhenis28193664:3360
4Akzhayik Uralsk28173863:2954
5FK Kyran281621055:5750
6Kairat Almaty 2281051358:5335
7Khan Tengri281051339:3835
8Arys281031540:6233
9Jas Qyran28951450:5332
10Turkistan28951447:5832
11Taraz28941547:5731
12FC Ekibastuz28871346:6431
13Aktobe 228721937:7723
14Akademiya Ontustik28561746:7521
15FC Astana 228612132:8519